关键词: 工业机器人, 服务业, 结构升级, 低端锁定

Abstract: As human society enters an era of new scientific and technological revolution characterized by artificial intelligence, intelligent production,as the main way of industrial innovation and transformation,is reshaping the industrial ecology worldwide,and will have a profound impact on the development of various industries.This paper studies the impact of industrial robots—the most important intelligent production technology at the current stage—on the structural changes of service industry from both theoretical and empirical aspects.The results show that the impact of the wide use of industrial robots on the development of service industry is generally promoting its"structural upgrading"rather than"low-end locking".Further heterogeneity estimation results show that the effect of structural upgrading is significantly enhanced in regions with higher exposure to industrial robots and the period after the aggressive policies are in place to support the development of industries related to artificial intelligence.In terms of mechanism,industrial robots significantly increase the effective linkage of industries,and create more jobs of new form and new model,which is conducive to service industry structural upgrading.This study confirms that industrial robots are an important driving force for the structural upgrading of service industry, and provides policy enlightenment for China to promote the deep integration of artificial intelligence and the real economy to achieve the strategic goal of industrial upgrading.

Key words: Industrial Robots, Service Industry, Structural Upgrading, Low-end Locking